Bearish on the Nifty IT index in the near-term, noting its 20% underperformance against the broader Indian market since January 1 due to P/E derating linked to AI obsolescence fears. While believing the long-term market for Indian IT will expand, near-term growth is expected to remain weak as investors focus on AI and macro risks.

Nomura Analysis’s track record: 3 graded calls · 95% CI 6–79%

Nifty ITBearishCalled 06 Jul 2026Graded 01 Aug 2026
Verdict:MISS

Nifty IT rose from ₹27939.15 to ₹30418.35, a significant increase contrary to the bearish call.

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