“Nikhil Ranka is cautious on ITC despite its recent correction, citing concerns over proposed taxation changes. He believes a 28-30% portfolio-level price hike, needed to offset excise duty, will lead to an 8-10% volume decline in the first year and flat volumes in the second, resulting in a flat EPS trajectory around ₹17-17.5. This lack of earnings growth will prevent significant stock re-rating, limiting moves to around 5% unless tax relief is provided.”
ITCBearishCalled 29 Jan 2026Graded 19 Jul 2026
ITC price decreased from ₹322.15 to ₹291.70, a decline of 9.45% over 60 days, which is consistent with the bearish call and the expectation of limited moves to around 5% unless tax relief is provided.
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